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Monday, August 2, 2021

Covid: Wuhan and Our First Impression of Covid-19

 https://www.cato.org/blog/misleading-arithmetic-covid-19-death-rates

In Wuhan, when the Chinese first realized they had the beginnings of a full blown epidemic in progress, the cases they were immediately fully aware of were those who were very obviously ill. Of this group, the ‘overall’ mortality rate was first thought to be about four percent. This is the figure we based our first impression of Covid upon. The large number of asymptomatic cases were not known about until later. So, it’s no wonder that we were so alarmed. After all, this mortality rate would’ve meant that about 13 million people would die in just America alone. Fortunately, the truth is much more livable — but, the impact of short term and long term Covid health problems is still tremendous. 

Note: Unfortunately, the asymptomatic cases are the main driving force behind the pandemic which is now amongst the unvaccinated.

Note: The above only references the original Covid strain. Its mutations, such as the Delta variant, are significantly more problematic. Face mask mandates in some vicinities where rates of vaccination are lowest will most likely become necessary again in the Fall — as predicted by the exponential increase of the Delta variant.