Sunday, October 16, 2016

"Ump•tray" Supporters: Significant Common Factor

Many misconceptions exist about the anti-Hillary crowd. Race (white) and religion (self professed evangelicals) are two variables that seem significant. A third is pro-authoritarianism (paternalism).

"That’s right, Trump’s electoral strength—and his staying power—have been buoyed, above all, by Americans with inclinations towards authoritarianism...
authoritarians have steadily moved from the Democratic to the Republican Party over time...... the trend began decades ago, as Democrats embraced civil rights, gay rights, employment protections and other political positions valuing freedom and equality. 

Trump’s strongman rhetoric will surely appeal to some of the 39 percent of independents who identify as authoritarians and the 17 percent of self-identified Democrats who are strong authoritarians.

What’s more, the number of Americans worried about the threat of terrorism is growing... and non-authoritarians respond to the perception of threat by behaving more like authoritarians. More fear and more threats mean more voters are susceptible to Trump’s message about protecting Americans. 

Take activated authoritarians from across the partisan spectrum and the growing cadre of threatened non-authoritarians, then add them to the base of Republican general election voters, and the potential path to a Trump presidency increases.